China
Had a Stable Growth in Chicken Meat Production While the Profit
of Chicken Husbandry in 2003 Had Decreased As Compared with
That of the Previous Year
1. Chinese Poultry Meat Production and the Marketed and Population
at Hand had a Stable Growth. According to sector statistics
of 30 provinces (except Tibet), chicken production in China
had a stable growth in 2003. Due to the fact the statistics
of chicken is in the statistics of poultry meat, not itemized
individually, according to historical data, the proportion
of chicken in poultry meat production is about 70%, it is
calculated that the national chicken meat production during
the period from Jan. to Sept. was 7.778 million tons, an increase
of 5.3% as compared with that of the same period of the previous
year, the ranking of the first 3 provinces are Shandong, Sichuan
and Guangdong. It is forecasted that during the period from
Jan. to Sept., the production of chicken meat was 9.24 million
ton in 2003, an increase of .56% as compared with that of
the previous year, accounting for 13.5% of total meat production
(68.5 million tons). According to incomplete statistics, the
2. The cost of broiler husbandry has increased while economic
benefit drops but some profit to gain. The corn output decreased
in China in 2003, while export of corn had increase by a big
margin. Therefore, the price of corn had increased by a big
margin. During the period from Jan. to Nov., the retail price
of corn was 1.1 RMB per kg, an increase of 4.7% as compared
with that of the same period of previous year. The rise of
corn price had increased the cost of chicken husbandry. During
the period from Jan. to Nov., 2003, the price ratio of chicken
and grain was 7.8:1, while the price ratio of chicken and
feed was 4.8:1, a drop of 6.9% and 2.8% as compared with those
during the same period of the previous year, respectively.
The husbandry benefit was lower that the previous year. However,
the price ratio of chicken and grain and the price ratio of
chicken and feed are both above the profit point, the husbandry
of broiler can still gain profit, gaining 1-2 RMB per bird.